Louisville Leopards 2016 Football Playoff Picture After Week 2

Tyler Adams 2015 Football Highlights Louisville Leopards

Louisville 3.30000 (T-8th out of 27)

Even after losing at Hoover 24-21 this past Friday, the 1-1 Louisville Leopards are still tied for the eighth Beatty's Sports Louisville Leopards Football 2016 Grey Schedule Shirtand final playoff spot with the Norton Panthers in DIII, Region 9. They would have to hit the road to take on the top seeded Richfield Revere Minutemen in the playoffs started today. Below you can see the full playoff picture courtesy of JoeEitel.com.

Louisville picked up 5.5 second level points courtesy of Canfield’s 45-21 win on the road at Alliance in Week 2. The Cardinals return home to face the Division II Kenston Bombers (1-1) which is another opportunity for the Leopards to pick up 6.0 second level Harbin Points.

This week Louisville hosts the Austintown Fitch Falcons (1-1) who fell at Division II Hudson 17-7 in JennCanAdWeek 1 and defeated Division I Brunswick 27-20 in Week 2. If the Leopards can pull off the upset, they would would pick up 6.5 first level points and 6.5 second level points.

Fantastic50.net has Louisville as a 10 point underdog at home this week against Fitch. The Leopards failed to beat the spread in each of the first two weeks as they were favored to beat Canfield by 8 (Louisville Won 21-17) and beat Hoover by 7 (Louisville Lost 24-21).


Donate to Leopard Nation





Fantastic50.net statistically factors in the Leopards playoff chances & playoff opponents. Louisville
Order Leopard Nation Highlight Videocurrently has a 56% chance to make the postseason. This week’s matchup is critical for the Leopards as that chance rises to 79% with a win against the Falcons, but drops to 47% with a loss against Fitch.

Louisville controls their own playoff destiny. While, they are given just a 3.8% chance to win out the rest of the way, if they did they would make it to the playoffs in every possible scenario. They would also have a 99% chance of hosting a playoff game come Week 11. Currently, the Leopards have just a 24% chance of hosting a playoff game coming into this week.

While the season is young, Fanatastic50.net projects Louisville’s most likely first round opponents as the Leopard Nation $5 ChallengeMarlington Dukes (14% chance), New Philadelphia Quakers (14% chance), and Archbishop Hoban Knights (13% chance). Below is a full look at these probabilities for the Leopards who are ranked 111th in the state overall and 10th in Division III.

Be sure to visit JoeEitel.com for the most up-to-date high school playoff standings and Fantastic50.net for all the latest High School Football Rankings & Statistical Probabilities!

Leopards Rankings & Statistical Probabilities

Rankings

State Ranking: 111th (Out of 720)
Division III Ranking: 15th (Out of 108)
Region 7 Ranking: 6th (Out of 27)

Projections

Projected Record: 7-3
Projected Harbin Points: 19.15
Projected Region 7 Ranking: 7th Seed

Win Probabilities

5 Wins: 11%
6 Wins: 29%
7 Wins: 35%
8 Wins: 19%
9 Wins: 4%

Playoff Probabilities

Chance of Making Playoffs: 56%
Chance of a Home Game: 24%

Playoff Chance with win Over Austintown Fitch: 79%
Playoff Chance with loss to Austintown Fitch: 47%

Playoff Chance By Win Scenarios
8W: 24.65 (24.10-25.35), 100% in, 4% home, proj. #5 (#3-#6)
9W: 25.70 (25.65-26.90), 100% in, 28% home, proj. #5 (#2-#5)

Condition Playoff Scenarios
4W: no playoff berth
5W: 12.50 (8.30-18.45), 1% in, 1% home, proj. out
6W: 15.63 (11.30-22.95), 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#2-out)
7W: 19.15 (14.45-25.65), 82% in, 14% home, proj. #7 (#1-out)
8W: 23.00 (18.80-28.25), 99% in, 80% home, proj. #3 (#1-out)
9W: 27.17 (23.65-30.70), 100% in, 99% home, proj. #2 (#1-#5)

Best Realistic Scenario
3.8% win all – 27.17 pts, In and 99% home (#2, range #1-#5) (Medina Buckeye 13%)

Worst Realistic Scenario
2.4% LWWLLLWW – 11.05 pts, Out

Most Likely Scenarios
11% LWWLWWWW – 18.55 pts, 74% in (#7, range #2-out) (New Philadelphia 21%)
9.1% LWWWWWWW – 22.95 pts, In and 85% home (#3, range #1-#8) (Medina Buckeye 12%)
8.0% LWWLWLWW – 14.50 pts, 1% in, range #7-out)
6.4% LWWWWLWW – 18.85 pts, 78% in (#7, range #2-out) (New Philadelphia 19%)
4.5% WWWLWWWW – 22.50 pts, 99% in and 64% home (#4, range #1-out) (Medina Buckeye 13%)
3.9% LWWLLWWW – 15.10 pts, 5% in, range #7-out)
(51% some other outcome)

Most Likely First-round Opponents
14% Alliance Marlington (2-0)
14% New Philadelphia (2-0)
13% Akron Hoban (1-1)
11% Akron SVSM (2-0)
9% Medina Buckeye (1-1)
39% some other opponent

Week-by-Week Ranking & Projection Summmary
Pre: 124.6 (#74, D3 #10) 80% (need 7-3), 54% H, proj. #1
W1: 124.5 (#69, D3 #7) 79% (bubble if 7-3), 54% H, proj. #1
W2: 119.8 (#111, D3 #15) 59% (need 7-3), 26% H, proj. #7

Harbin Computer Rankings for DIII, Region 7 (Post Week 8)

RankW-LID #CitySchoolAverageLevel 1Level 2L2 divisor
12-01288RichfieldRevere6.300011.55.5100
22-0964AllianceMarlington6.050011.05.5100
32-01384AkronSt Vincent-St Mary6.000012.00.0100
42-01106New PhiladelphiaNew Philadelphia5.600010.06.0100
52-0322CarrolltonCarrollton5.20009.54.5100
61-1724AkronArchbishop Hoban3.85006.56.0100
71-1634GenevaGeneva3.60006.06.0100
8t1-1902LouisvilleLouisville3.30005.55.5100
8t1-11158NortonNorton3.30005.55.5100
10t1-1698PainesvilleHarvey3.25006.50.0100
10t1-1276MedinaBuckeye3.25005.55.0100
10t1-11264PolandPoland Seminary3.25005.55.0100
13t1-1304CanfieldCanfield2.75005.50.0100
13t1-1478AkronEast2.75005.50.0100
13t1-1800AkronKenmore2.75005.50.099
13t1-11522TallmadgeTallmadge2.75005.50.0100
17t1-1428AkronCoventry2.50005.00.0100
17t1-1472DoverDover2.50005.00.0100
17t1-1824MentorLake Catholic2.50005.00.0100
17t1-1994NilesNiles McKinley2.50005.00.0100
21t0-2112AllianceAlliance0.00000.00.0100
21t0-2274AkronBuchtel0.00000.00.0100
21t0-2390LodiCloverleaf0.00000.00.0100
21t0-2736WarrenHowland0.00000.00.0100
21t0-21281RavennaRavenna0.00000.00.0100
21t0-21472AkronSpringfield0.00000.00.0100
21t0-21678ChesterlandWest Geauga0.00000.00.0100

Click to Enlarge

Pictures

Cover Photo Taken By Jim & Laura Photography

View & Purchase Louisville Leopards Pictures on the  Jim & Laura Photography Website

Jim and Laura Photography

Order Leopard Nation Highlight Video

You may also like...