Leopard 2014 Football Playoff Picture After Week 4

Louisville Leopards Football 2014 at Salem Reilly Stadium

Louisville 5.9000 (8th Place)

If the season ended right now the 3-1 Louisville Leopards would qualify for the DIII, Region 7 playoffs. Beatty's Sports Blue Football Schedule Shirt Sidebar Ad SizeThey would be on the road though as a #8 seed taking on current top seeded Tallmadge. Below you can see the full playoff picture courtesy of JoeEitel.com.

Also, Fantastic50.net statistically factors in the Leopards playoff chances & playoff opponents. They have a 97% of qualifying for the postseason and a 100% chance of making it in if they win out. A win this week over Carrollton will increase their playoff chances to 99% verses a loss which lowers those chances to 90%. Poland Seminary is the most likely first round opponent for Louisville as that scenario has a 25% chance of happening at this point. Below is a full look at these probabilities for the Leopards who are ranked 87th in the state overall and 15th in Division III:

Leopards Statistical Probabilities

#87 Louisville (3-1) 126.9
Ranked #15 of 105 in Division III, #6 in Region 7
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.720, #166 toughest (of 721)
Division III strength-of-schedule 0.611, #33 toughest (of 105)
Projected record 8-2, win total probabilities 6W-1% 7W-11% 8W-39% 9W-48% 
Harbin projections (ranges): 6W-15.83(13.50-20.00) 7W-18.05(14.55-23.25) 8W-21.50(17.30-25.90) 9W-25.10(22.25-27.40) 
Playoff probabilities: 6W-33% 7W-82% 8W-99% 9W-100% 
Home game probabilities: 7W-1% 8W-17% 9W-74%
Seed projections (ranges): 6W-#out (#5-#out) 7W-#7 (#4-#out) 8W-#5 (#1-#out) 9W-#4 (#1-#7) 
Projected 21.50 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected #5 seed (best #1, worst out) 
Playoff chance 97% (control own destiny), 43% chance of a home game 
Playoff chance 99% with a win this week, and 90% with a loss
1st round opponents: Poland Seminary (Poland) 25%, Aurora 20%, Chardon 17%, Tallmadge 10%, Hubbard 10%

Harbin Computer Rankings for DIII, Region 7 (Post Week 4)

Top 8 qualify for playoffs
In the Playoffs
Rank W-L ID # City School Average Level 1 Level 2 L2 divisor
1 4-0 1522 Tallmadge Tallmadge 10.5250 23.5 46.5 100
2 4-0 738 Hubbard Hubbard 9.4500 20.0 44.5 100
3 4-0 146 Aurora Aurora 8.2000 22.0 27.0 100
4 4-0 1264 Poland Poland Seminary 7.9750 21.5 26.0 100
5 4-0 360 Chardon Chardon 7.7750 22.5 21.5 100
6 4-0 724 Akron Archbishop Hoban 6.4750 23.5 6.0 100
7 3-1 736 Warren Howland 6.0000 16.0 20.0 100
8 3-1 902 Louisville Louisville 5.9000 16.0 19.0 100
Out of the Playoffs
9 3-1 1288 Richfield Revere 5.2000 17.0 9.5 100
10 2-2 478 Akron East 4.4500 11.0 17.0 100
11 2-2 1678 Chesterland West Geauga 4.3500 11.0 16.0 100
12 2-2 634 Geneva Geneva 4.2000 10.0 17.0 100
13 2-2 1384 Akron St Vincent-St Mary 4.0000 11.0 12.5 100
14 2-2 802 Chagrin Falls Kenston 3.7750 10.5 11.5 100
15 2-2 428 Akron Coventry 3.5250 11.5 6.5 100
16 2-2 1472 Akron Springfield 3.4750 11.5 6.0 100
17 1-3 1281 Ravenna Ravenna 2.7500 5.0 15.0 100
2-2 112 Alliance Alliance 2.7500 11.0 0.0 100
19 1-3 304 Canfield Canfield 2.4750 5.5 11.0 100
20 1-3 1120 Akron North 1.8500 6.0 3.5 100
21 1-3 964 Alliance Marlington 1.7000 5.0 4.5 100
1-3 994 Niles Niles McKinley 1.7000 5.0 4.5 100
23 1-3 626 Akron Garfield 1.5000 6.0 0.0 100
24 1-3 800 Akron Kenmore 1.3750 5.5 0.0 100
25 0-4 274 Akron Buchtel 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100
0-4 1432 Canton Canton South 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100
0-4 1158 Norton Norton 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100

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