Louisville Leopards 2016 Football Playoff Picture After Week 2

Tyler Adams 2015 Football Highlights Louisville Leopards

Louisville 3.30000 (T-8th out of 27)

Even after losing at Hoover 24-21 this past Friday, the 1-1 Louisville Leopards are still tied for the eighth Beatty's Sports Louisville Leopards Football 2016 Grey Schedule Shirtand final playoff spot with the Norton Panthers in DIII, Region 9. They would have to hit the road to take on the top seeded Richfield Revere Minutemen in the playoffs started today. Below you can see the full playoff picture courtesy of JoeEitel.com.

Louisville picked up 5.5 second level points courtesy of Canfield’s 45-21 win on the road at Alliance in Week 2. The Cardinals return home to face the Division II Kenston Bombers (1-1) which is another opportunity for the Leopards to pick up 6.0 second level Harbin Points.

This week Louisville hosts the Austintown Fitch Falcons (1-1) who fell at Division II Hudson 17-7 in JennCanAdWeek 1 and defeated Division I Brunswick 27-20 in Week 2. If the Leopards can pull off the upset, they would would pick up 6.5 first level points and 6.5 second level points.

Fantastic50.net has Louisville as a 10 point underdog at home this week against Fitch. The Leopards failed to beat the spread in each of the first two weeks as they were favored to beat Canfield by 8 (Louisville Won 21-17) and beat Hoover by 7 (Louisville Lost 24-21).


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Fantastic50.net statistically factors in the Leopards playoff chances & playoff opponents. Louisville
Order Leopard Nation Highlight Videocurrently has a 56% chance to make the postseason. This week’s matchup is critical for the Leopards as that chance rises to 79% with a win against the Falcons, but drops to 47% with a loss against Fitch.

Louisville controls their own playoff destiny. While, they are given just a 3.8% chance to win out the rest of the way, if they did they would make it to the playoffs in every possible scenario. They would also have a 99% chance of hosting a playoff game come Week 11. Currently, the Leopards have just a 24% chance of hosting a playoff game coming into this week.

While the season is young, Fanatastic50.net projects Louisville’s most likely first round opponents as the Leopard Nation $5 ChallengeMarlington Dukes (14% chance), New Philadelphia Quakers (14% chance), and Archbishop Hoban Knights (13% chance). Below is a full look at these probabilities for the Leopards who are ranked 111th in the state overall and 10th in Division III.

Be sure to visit JoeEitel.com for the most up-to-date high school playoff standings and Fantastic50.net for all the latest High School Football Rankings & Statistical Probabilities!

Leopards Rankings & Statistical Probabilities

Rankings

State Ranking: 111th (Out of 720)
Division III Ranking: 15th (Out of 108)
Region 7 Ranking: 6th (Out of 27)

Projections

Projected Record: 7-3
Projected Harbin Points: 19.15
Projected Region 7 Ranking: 7th Seed

Win Probabilities

5 Wins: 11%
6 Wins: 29%
7 Wins: 35%
8 Wins: 19%
9 Wins: 4%

Playoff Probabilities

Chance of Making Playoffs: 56%
Chance of a Home Game: 24%

Playoff Chance with win Over Austintown Fitch: 79%
Playoff Chance with loss to Austintown Fitch: 47%

Playoff Chance By Win Scenarios
8W: 24.65 (24.10-25.35), 100% in, 4% home, proj. #5 (#3-#6)
9W: 25.70 (25.65-26.90), 100% in, 28% home, proj. #5 (#2-#5)

Condition Playoff Scenarios
4W: no playoff berth
5W: 12.50 (8.30-18.45), 1% in, 1% home, proj. out
6W: 15.63 (11.30-22.95), 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#2-out)
7W: 19.15 (14.45-25.65), 82% in, 14% home, proj. #7 (#1-out)
8W: 23.00 (18.80-28.25), 99% in, 80% home, proj. #3 (#1-out)
9W: 27.17 (23.65-30.70), 100% in, 99% home, proj. #2 (#1-#5)

Best Realistic Scenario
3.8% win all – 27.17 pts, In and 99% home (#2, range #1-#5) (Medina Buckeye 13%)

Worst Realistic Scenario
2.4% LWWLLLWW – 11.05 pts, Out

Most Likely Scenarios
11% LWWLWWWW – 18.55 pts, 74% in (#7, range #2-out) (New Philadelphia 21%)
9.1% LWWWWWWW – 22.95 pts, In and 85% home (#3, range #1-#8) (Medina Buckeye 12%)
8.0% LWWLWLWW – 14.50 pts, 1% in, range #7-out)
6.4% LWWWWLWW – 18.85 pts, 78% in (#7, range #2-out) (New Philadelphia 19%)
4.5% WWWLWWWW – 22.50 pts, 99% in and 64% home (#4, range #1-out) (Medina Buckeye 13%)
3.9% LWWLLWWW – 15.10 pts, 5% in, range #7-out)
(51% some other outcome)

Most Likely First-round Opponents
14% Alliance Marlington (2-0)
14% New Philadelphia (2-0)
13% Akron Hoban (1-1)
11% Akron SVSM (2-0)
9% Medina Buckeye (1-1)
39% some other opponent

Week-by-Week Ranking & Projection Summmary
Pre: 124.6 (#74, D3 #10) 80% (need 7-3), 54% H, proj. #1
W1: 124.5 (#69, D3 #7) 79% (bubble if 7-3), 54% H, proj. #1
W2: 119.8 (#111, D3 #15) 59% (need 7-3), 26% H, proj. #7

Harbin Computer Rankings for DIII, Region 7 (Post Week 8)

Rank W-L ID # City School Average Level 1 Level 2 L2 divisor
1 2-0 1288 Richfield Revere 6.3000 11.5 5.5 100
2 2-0 964 Alliance Marlington 6.0500 11.0 5.5 100
3 2-0 1384 Akron St Vincent-St Mary 6.0000 12.0 0.0 100
4 2-0 1106 New Philadelphia New Philadelphia 5.6000 10.0 6.0 100
5 2-0 322 Carrollton Carrollton 5.2000 9.5 4.5 100
6 1-1 724 Akron Archbishop Hoban 3.8500 6.5 6.0 100
7 1-1 634 Geneva Geneva 3.6000 6.0 6.0 100
8t 1-1 902 Louisville Louisville 3.3000 5.5 5.5 100
8t 1-1 1158 Norton Norton 3.3000 5.5 5.5 100
10t 1-1 698 Painesville Harvey 3.2500 6.5 0.0 100
10t 1-1 276 Medina Buckeye 3.2500 5.5 5.0 100
10t 1-1 1264 Poland Poland Seminary 3.2500 5.5 5.0 100
13t 1-1 304 Canfield Canfield 2.7500 5.5 0.0 100
13t 1-1 478 Akron East 2.7500 5.5 0.0 100
13t 1-1 800 Akron Kenmore 2.7500 5.5 0.0 99
13t 1-1 1522 Tallmadge Tallmadge 2.7500 5.5 0.0 100
17t 1-1 428 Akron Coventry 2.5000 5.0 0.0 100
17t 1-1 472 Dover Dover 2.5000 5.0 0.0 100
17t 1-1 824 Mentor Lake Catholic 2.5000 5.0 0.0 100
17t 1-1 994 Niles Niles McKinley 2.5000 5.0 0.0 100
21t 0-2 112 Alliance Alliance 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100
21t 0-2 274 Akron Buchtel 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100
21t 0-2 390 Lodi Cloverleaf 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100
21t 0-2 736 Warren Howland 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100
21t 0-2 1281 Ravenna Ravenna 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100
21t 0-2 1472 Akron Springfield 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100
21t 0-2 1678 Chesterland West Geauga 0.0000 0.0 0.0 100

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Pictures

Cover Photo Taken By Jim & Laura Photography

View & Purchase Louisville Leopards Pictures on the  Jim & Laura Photography Website

Jim and Laura Photography

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